Return to work for a week： How is China’s economy？ Look at the answers given by big data
At present, the "return to work" button has been pressed all over the country.
In addition to the epidemic prevention and control war, another front is becoming increasingly clear — — Restore normal economic operation.
Master Tan counted that the word "return to work" appeared three times and the word "production" was mentioned seven times at the The Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) meeting on February 12th.
Frequent emphasis shows an attitude: prevention and control of epidemic situation, resumption of work and production.
The two fronts support each other and are indispensable.
What is the situation of returning to work in the whole country in a week? Master Tan linked a number of big data institutions and tried to get the answer.
China’s economy is "returning blood"
Tan Zhu cooperated with the Big Data Development Department of the National Information Center and Aurora Big Data to sort out 12.4 billion pieces of data, and drew such a trend chart of the national personnel returning to work.
You can see two distinct stages:
Feb. 3-Feb. 9: The return rate of personnel nationwide is at a low level.
February 10-February 12: After the weekend, the national resumption of work started the rhythm of rising and rising. According to the data of the National Information Center, as of February 12, the return rate of personnel nationwide reached 26.06%.
Everyone’s expectation has been confirmed: although it can’t be called "full blood resurrection", a number of data show that China’s economy is "returning blood".
First of all, the 10th is the time for many places to return to work.
In addition, Tan Zhu also discovered the deeper reasons from a small change.
On February 9, Hangzhou Orderly Resume-work Class issued an announcement: 29,814 enterprises in Hangzhou applied for resuming work, but only 162 enterprises were approved in the end.
And a few days later, the situation is very different. Wenzhou, Jiaxing, Zhoushan and other "postal areas" cities have introduced a "postal area" policy for rework personnel, encouraging enterprises to charter cars to take back employees from other provinces.
From refusing to welcoming, from blocking to sparse; From "epidemic prevention" to "epidemic prevention" and "returning to work", it reflects the policy changes in many places within two weeks.
On the 11th, the National Development and Reform Commission said: "We will strictly stop the practice of restricting enterprises from returning to work and production by simple and rude means such as examination and approval."
The The Politburo Standing Committee (PSC) Conference also expressed its position: This wind cannot last long!
It is not difficult to see that the pace of returning to work is on the right track.
Who is the pioneer of returning to work?
Of course, a full-scale return to work will not happen overnight.
There are bound to be some pioneers who have promoted the emergence of the turning point of returning to work and pulled the economy back on track.
Who are they? What industry are you engaged in? Where are they? Master Tan linked big data institutions of all parties and tried to present a "picture of the status quo of returning to work".
Which industries are the first to return to work?
China Unicom Big Data Company relies on 1.35 billion pieces of mobile phone signaling log data and 10.3 billion pieces of Internet log data, and comes to the conclusion that in the past two weeks, couriers and take-away personnel have become pioneers in returning to work. Their return to work is like this:
This picture surprised Master Tan.
On the one hand, from February 3 to February 10, the number of people returning to work in this group ushered in a sharp increase.
This means that before the 10 th, many courier and takeaway brothers have taken the lead and returned to their posts. As of February 13th, the number of take-out and express delivery personnel in China has reached 2.13 million, accounting for 62.33%.
On the other hand, when we focus on Wuhan from the national situation. Surprisingly, in Wuhan, where the "pause button" was pressed, the courier brother was accelerating.
At present, 400 delivery outlets in Wuhan have resumed normal operation, and the express delivery sites are storing mountains of parcels, relief materials from all over the country, and daily necessities, waiting for couriers to transit and transport them to all corners.
They shuttled through the streets and alleys of Wuhan, carrying heavy burdens for the normal life of citizens.
Driven by them, many physical stores have reopened.
According to the user data of hundreds of millions of physical stores, Alipay and online merchant bank found that the business rate of small stores in China, such as restaurants, small supermarkets and small pharmacies, has rebounded for six consecutive days, and the number of businesses has increased by more than 1.1 million.
You must be familiar with other pioneers who have returned to work.
Among them are mask enterprises that stopped production for 570 days and resumed work within 96 hours; Protective equipment enterprises that have five times the salary to call workers back to the factory and lose money to produce; There is a cross-border conversion enterprise &hellip, which is "what the people need". …
Tan Zhu, together with the National Information Center and Daily Interactive and Digital Famous Products Company, analyzed 72.45 million related data of medical material enterprises in China.
The highest proportion of returning to work is "physical protection" such as protective clothing, followed by "masks". Since the 9th, the number of people returning to work on the production line of "masks" such as goggles has also started to increase. The overall return rate of personnel reached 45.83%.
The efforts of these pioneers have paid off, and the good news finally came:
According to the latest data from the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, the daily output of medical protective clothing increased rapidly from 0.97 million pieces on January 28th to 93,900 pieces on February 13th.
Which places are the first to resume work?
To answer this question, you have to ask the electric power department.
Yesterday, Tan talked with Shan Baoguo, deputy chief economist of State Grid Energy Research Institute. According to his observation of the national electricity consumption on February 12, the electricity consumption of Shandong, Shanghai, Jiangsu, Liaoning, Guangdong and other provinces has increased significantly compared with February 8.
The exciting news comes from Guangdong, which accounts for one tenth of the country’s total economic output.
As of February 14th, the electricity consumption in Guangdong Province continued to rise obviously, with an increase of 18.7% compared with the day before the resumption of work (9th).
Among them, industrial electricity consumption grew rapidly, with the growth rate reaching 67.5% compared with the day before the resumption of work (9th). This shows that Guangdong enterprises are working at full capacity to resume production.
According to the calculation of electricity consumption on February 14th, over 60% of enterprises in Guangdong have resumed work.
When the machine rings, there are two thousand gold. Guangdong, with an economic aggregate of more than 10 trillion yuan and a strong manufacturing cluster, has an eye-catching performance in returning to work.
In Zhejiang, another big economic province, the trend of electricity consumption recovery is also relatively stable.
As of February 14th, the last working day of last week, Zhejiang announced that the power index of enterprises returning to work was 27.55. What do you mean by that? Generally speaking, if the normal production index of all enterprises is 100, then the current level of return to work of Zhejiang enterprises is close to 30% of the normal state.
Although the value of 27.55 needs to be improved, the current warming trend is very obvious.
On February 9th, this figure was 23.56, and in the following five days, the figures were 24.36, 25.47, 25.83, 26.77 and 27.55 respectively, rising day by day, and the overall situation continued to climb.
The situation of resumption of work in some industries has been very prominent, among which the power index of financial industry is the highest, reaching 71.57. The mask and protective products industries have also stepped up their work, with an index of 69.59.
A more active online scene
For many internet companies, it is better to say that the business did not press the pause button during the epidemic.
More than 10 million pieces of data from Alibaba show that in February, more than 30,000 people came to Taobao to open new stores every day. In the past half month, on Taobao Live, the number of newly broadcast live rooms has doubled year-on-year, and the number of broadcast sessions has also increased by 110% compared with last year.
Internet medical enterprises participate in the fight against "epidemic" remotely. Micro-medical data show that as of the 14th, 32,978 online doctors have provided 1.296 million medical consultation services.
Not only that, traditional enterprises have also turned to the online.
More than 1,000 shopping guides under Yintai Department Store opened more than 1,000 Taobao live broadcasts in three days, bringing in a turnover of nearly 10 million yuan.
According to a statistic made by 58 cities, 55% of enterprises took home office during the epidemic.
One detail is very interesting. This wave of "cloud resumption of work" also unexpectedly ignited the consumption of office supplies. Suning combed the big consumption data from February 10 to February 14 and found that since the first batch of people resumed work on February 10, computer sales increased by 116%, wireless mouse sales increased by 178% and Bluetooth keyboard sales increased by 148%.
Grasp both hands correctly!
While returning to work on the right track, good news came from epidemic prevention and control.
According to the latest data on the 15th, 12 new cases outside Hubei dropped continuously.
This means that epidemic prevention measures are effective! Since the resumption of work in many places, it has not triggered a large-scale epidemic spread.
How did you do that? Look at this picture, it is not a joke, but a "hard-core" epidemic prevention measure of many enterprises at present.
"The canteen feels like an exam", "Don’t peek at other people’s meals, that colleague turns his head away" and "Don’t whisper" … … The reading volume of this Weibo exceeded 400 million, which triggered a large number of posts from netizens and exposed the same canteen.
At present, in order to resume work smoothly, various localities and enterprises have frequently resorted to tricks, striving to make the prevention and control of the epidemic situation practical and detailed.
The National Information Center searched more than 5.44 million relevant data of enterprises returning to work and found that most of the enterprises that have resumed work have taken these measures:
Isolation, disinfection, wearing a mask, taking temperature and washing hands frequently … …
All kinds of means have only one purpose: zero infection and promoting production.
The implementation of these measures will make the pace of returning to work faster and faster, and the economic vitality will become stronger and stronger.
In these two days, a post-90 s courier brother in Wuhan was on fire. He helped two or three thousand residents buy vegetables nearby and became a "food delivery hero" in everyone’s heart. At this moment, more and more courier brothers are on the road, and their figures are drawn into such a picture.
Looking at this picture, Tan suddenly had a feeling:
These red colors on the map of Wuhan are not only the busyness of the express delivery industry, but also represent the resilience and vitality of China’s economy.
Only one week after the resumption of work, China’s economy has begun to gradually "return to blood".
With the situation of epidemic prevention and control improving, China’s economy will get back on track faster and faster.
Help China’s economy!
Source: "Yuyuan Tan Tian" WeChat WeChat official account